Weekly Macro Calendar: FOMC Minutes, U.S. GDP & PCE, Global PMI Wave
Full weekly macro calendar: market holidays, CPI releases, FOMC minutes, PMIs, China’s LPR, and Friday’s U.S. GDP and PCE.
From an editorial perspective, this week’s macro calendar carries unusual weight. With U.S. markets closed at the start and a heavy concentration of data toward the end, investors will be navigating shifting liquidity conditions before facing a decisive batch of releases — including FOMC minutes, global PMIs and preliminary U.S. GDP. The timing, as historical cycles often show, may prove just as important as the numbers themselves.
Sunday, Feb. 15
- 6:50 PM — Japan: GDP (Q4 2025)
Monday, Feb. 16
- Markets: U.S. — no trading (Washington’s Birthday)
- Markets: Canada — no trading (Family Day)
- Markets: China — no trading (Chinese New Year)
- 5:00 AM — Eurozone: Industrial Production (Dec.)
- 8:30 AM — Canada: CPI (Jan.)
- Russia: Russian Business Week (Feb. 16–20)
Tuesday, Feb. 17
- Ukraine: Trilateral talks in Geneva (Feb. 17–18)
- Markets: China — no trading (Chinese New Year)
- 8:15 AM — U.S.: ADP Employment (weekly)
- 8:30 AM — Canada: CPI (Jan.)
- 8:30 AM — U.S.: NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Feb.)
- Russia: Russian Business Week (Feb. 16–20)
Wednesday, Feb. 18
- 8:00 PM (Tue) — New Zealand: Central bank rate decision
- 2:00 AM — UK: CPI (Jan.)
- Markets: China — no trading (Chinese New Year)
- Markets: Brazil — no trading (Ash Wednesday)
- 8:30 AM — U.S.: Durable Goods Orders (Dec.)
- 8:30 AM — U.S.: Housing Starts (Jan.)
- 9:15 AM — U.S.: Industrial Production (Jan.)
- 11:00 AM — Russia: CPI (weekly)
- 2:00 PM — U.S.: FOMC minutes (previous meeting)
- 4:30 PM — U.S. Oil: API crude inventories
- Ukraine: Trilateral talks in Geneva (Feb. 17–18)
- Russia: Russian Business Week (Feb. 16–20)
Thursday, Feb. 19
- Markets: China — no trading (Chinese New Year)
- 4:00 AM — Eurozone: Current Account (Dec.)
- 8:30 AM — U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims
- 8:30 AM — U.S.: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Feb.)
- 8:30 AM — U.S.: Trade Balance (Dec.)
- 10:00 AM — U.S.: Pending Home Sales (Jan.)
- 10:00 AM — U.S.: Leading Economic Index (Jan.)
- 10:30 AM — U.S. Gas: EIA natural gas inventories
- 12:00 PM — U.S. Oil: EIA crude inventories
- 5:00 PM — Australia: Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Feb., prelim) (moved from Friday after ET conversion)
- 7:30 PM — Japan: Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Feb., prelim) (moved from Friday after ET conversion)
- 8:15 PM — China: LPR (Loan Prime Rate) (moved from Friday after ET conversion)
- Russia: Russian Business Week (Feb. 16–20)
Friday, Feb. 20
- Potential headline risk: U.S. court may rule on legality of Trump tariffs
- Markets: China — no trading (Chinese New Year)
- 12:00 AM — India: Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Feb., prelim)
- 3:30 AM — Germany: Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Feb., prelim)
- 4:00 AM — Eurozone: Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Feb., prelim)
- 4:30 AM — UK: Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Feb., prelim)
- 8:30 AM — U.S.: GDP (Q4 2025, prelim)
- 8:30 AM — U.S.: PCE Price Index (Nov.)
- 9:45 AM — U.S.: S&P Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Feb., prelim)
- 10:00 AM — U.S.: New Home Sales (Dec.)
- 10:00 AM — U.S.: Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Feb.)
- 10:00 AM — U.S.: Consumer Inflation Expectations (Feb.)
- Russia: Russian Business Week (Feb. 16–20)
What markets will likely focus on: the midweek FOMC minutes for rate-path nuance, and Friday’s combo of U.S. GDP + PCE + PMI + Michigan for a cleaner read on growth vs. inflation momentum. The global PMI wave (Asia → Europe → U.S.) also matters for risk sentiment into the weekend.
Olivia Carter